Friday, February 29, 2008
Regency (RGNC) also puts up earnings numbers this morning. Also some early trades in a few mlps which are unusual and don't always mean they will go in this direction. Constellation (CEP) is up 40 cents pre-open on one trade.

Charts are inconclusive here. Its sort of day to day in the markets overall and as long as that is the case MLPS can attempt to make progress. But we need to break out of this base and that means a close over 310 on the index. We're far away from there.
BTW the unholy trinity has violated its rule 2 days in a row. Looks like there is hope out there. No upgrades or downgrades so far this morning. Headlines as they break.s
Thursday, February 28, 2008
Looking for a strong last hour.
What a disaster yesterday for Boardwalk Partners (BWP). You don't see moves like this very often but the stock was down over 3 points yesterday; reacting to this 10k filing which is citing cost overruns on its pipeline expansions, which may lead to more equity being issued, which means more dilution, which led to 2 downgrades, which resulted in the 3 point slicing. Lesson here is that there is no such thing as a risk free investment in MLP land. Now does it bounce a little in here or does this falling knife have more to go?
Speaking of falling knives Linn Energy (LINE) was one for such a long time but that stopped last week and the stock is up nearly 5 points of its low. Now we have earnings this morning whch when you strip through the headlines...actually look pretty decent. All the important numbers look good. We'll see if the market players see it the same way.
The other issue yesterday was the nearly 4 point decline in the MLP index but much of that was from the 2 stock offerings of Kinder Morgan Partners (KMP) and Enbridge Energy Partners (EEP) which was a big drag. Most mlps were flat to slightly lower. Still sitting above 290 on the index so that continues to provide the floor of this base which we have been building apparently since August. At least lets hope its a base and not a plank we're walking.
No other headlines this morning and nothing yet on the upgrade downgrade list.
Wednesday, February 27, 2008
The mlp index is all about Kinder Morgan (KMP) and Enbridge Energy Partners (EEP) and their stock offerings so the index is down over 2 points. Most MLPS are actually flat to higher right now.Penn Virginia Holdings (PVG) and Atlas Pipeline Partners (APL) are the biggest winners today up strong fractions.
THE UNHOLY TRINITY,
AND THE VIRUS ISSUE!
The last one first...there has been a virus issue with this blog lately and it has to do with my ad supporter and one of the ad placements. I have removed it and it should no longer be an issue. I am sorry for any inconvienence.
Okay last night night we got news from Kinder Morgan(KMP) and Enbridge Energy(EEP) which are both doing unit offerings. Kinder Morgan stock price is near a 52 week high so its a good place for them to sell units. Enbridge (EEP) has been going sideways for years now so there is no change here.

Note that were it not for Kinder Morgan the MLP index chart would look far worse than it does.The basing pattern continues but i would look for the index to be lower today. But this time it may not necessarily reflect what will be going on in the group thanks to those 2 heavyweights and the distortions the stock offerings will cause.

Brokerage houses have been coming out lately touting MLPS especially Raymond James who are usually good at making the right calls at the right times so i would pay attention to them when they upgrade or downgrade. The Williams (WPZ) call comes near its 52 week low and the stock has rallied finally. This morning we have Citigroup starting coverage at a hold (what ever that means since you have to buy it first before you could hold it...or it means you hold while i sell.) Lehman starts Williams at an overweight.
Finally the unholy trinity of Linn, Constellation, and Eagle Rock all closed higher yesterday which violates the theory that it is impossible for these 3 companies to trade higher together on any given day. If we can't depend on this theory than what can we depend on? Actually its nice to see Linn finally acting better after weeks of unrelenting selling. Now if only the other 2 issues here would bounce.
Tuesday, February 26, 2008
The mlp index is up a little over 1 point and its being dragged by some of the bigger cap mlps like Kinder Morgan (KMP)and Nustar (NS)which are down small fractions today.
Linn Energy (LINE) is up 4 points off its low. The unholy trinity is in jeopardy today as Constellation (CEP) and Eagle Rock(EROC) are up a few pennies. E V Partners (EVEP) is down and has not moved as volume has picked up lately....could be PIPE (priviate equity) pressure. Today is the last day of trading for February settlement...if that is important to any of these hedge funds.
