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Thursday, July 03, 2008

Early clues as coal stocks like Arch Coal (ACI) and Peabody (BTU) are down at the open. Coal (KOL) is down 2.5%. So is Potash (POT). So i would expect yesterdays selloff in materials minerals and energy to continue. But its all about 8:30am

19 comments:

Anonymous said...

Joe, are you considering swapping DUG into SZO or DTO? I'm thinking of doing that, as the major intergrated oils have dramatically underperformed USO, and you now have a pure commodity play.

Anonymous said...

Higher ECB Rates=Higher Relative Purchasing Strength of the Euro=Greater European Demand for Commodities=Higher Commodity Prices=Sell-off in Minerals and Energy?

What the heck is going on???

Anonymous said...

I am convinced that the majority of "investors" buying MLP's have absolutely no clue what they are.

Mr. Pipes

Anonymous said...

CEP has gone from 23 to 19 in about 10 days. A 20% loss on no news, while natural gas prices have continued to rise.

Anonymous said...

HEP down 3% on 2700 shares. Give me a break. This market is a complete fraud.

Anonymous said...

This is no longer a functioning market, its a casino. Fundamentals mean nothing, value means nothing, yield means nothing, growth means nothing.

Glory!

Anonymous said...

This is just a complete and utter fraud. Look at this price action. Someone is artifically pushing these things lower. there is no volume. This is blind manipulation.

Anonymous said...

I bought QELP, CEP, BPL and ETE today. Things cannot be as bad as the prices and yield reflect.

Mr. Pipes

Anonymous said...

Let me get this straight: Crude oil is storming higher and BBEP, LINE, and the E&P's are all down 3% or more today??? What the hell?!?!?!

Anonymous said...

liquid MLPs are a source of cash right now. Thats why AHD is the better bet

Anonymous said...

Just a total panic in CEP this morning...I bought some more.

Fed Up

Anonymous said...

Its official we are never using hydrocarbons again! Sell all your E&P's today ahead of the long weekend and a shortened trading day.

Anonymous said...

QELP -6%

This market is a joke. Everyone NEEDS to sell ahead of a long weekend.

Natural gas is up today and QELP is a natural gas producer isn't it???

Anonymous said...

AMZ only down 4 points today. What a frickin disaster...

Anonymous said...

How is it that every single ANALyst has gotten the MLP call wrong? There is not one ANALyst that predicted a down move in the sector. The target prices set by some of these guys is laughable.

Here are a few from Citi just for laughs

Ticker Target
BPL $55.00
MMP $48.00
PAA $62.00
NS $66.00
ETP $68.00
APL $49.00

Anonymous said...

I think the Citi price targets are for fiscal 2008. It ain't over 'til the fat lady sings.

Anonymous said...

boys boys relax
this is dreiser139
leh brothers sold 3.5million today of line.
they are one of the largest holders of eandp mlps.
even my beloved bte was swamped these last 2days.dmlp sold off 6points in a week
these r institutional sales going into cash.where institutions placing there bets who cares.
if u r a mlp or commodity fan u r where u want to be.
only big negative i see is possible tinkering with tax code after dems get in and mlps tax advantages taken away.
then all bets off this beloved group falls like a stone.
have a great 4th everyone especially u joe.
by the way big brown may be just one juiced up nag.just one mans opinion.
next race may finally answer that question.his trainer very suspect
dreiser139

Anonymous said...

I don't blame the analysts..there's not much anyone can do when fundamentals take a back sit to low liquidity and technical factors. Although I do think some of their price targets are a little aggressive given todays environment. You have to remember that last year many hedge funds were overlevered. With the massive tightening in the credit markets and deleveraging of these firms, there just isn't as much capital in the sector as there used to be last year. Its a tough argument to say MLPs will revert back to levels in mid-2007..at least not this year

joewxman said...

Thanks for pointing out SZO and DTO to me. I still like the dugs because i like the leverage of the double short and the volitility which i can trade with ease. If you know if there is a short crude etf let me know.

If you have been builing a DUG position in here its been better than trying to pick the crude oil top. DUGS have moved sideways these last few weeks.If we have another 500 or 1000 dow points down in here then you can bet everything goes down including Exxon and Chevron among other integrated oils. I think the action late this week where we saw the AG stocks the coal stocks the rails all rollover and close near their lows this week a sign that the bear is about to maul the big winners and they will do it in a big way. IMHO of course and i'm long DUG hoping i'm right.