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Sunday, September 28, 2008

Futures begin trading @ 6pm and CNBC.com has the info. So does Bloomberg.com so lets keep our fingers crossed for a relief rally Monday. European problems emerging with Fortis on the ropes as well as B&B in Britian being taken over. ECB...ITS TIME TO EASE 50 BASIS POINTS AND STOP WORRYING ABOUT INFLATION.

I wonder if Bernake is ready to cut 50 basis points here after this deal is done?

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

It seems to me that we need two things ASAP: (1) an interest rate cut by the Fed; and, perhaps more importantly,(2) the FDIC insurance limits need to be raised substantially--perhaps to $1 Million or more.

I know that some will argue that raising the FDIC limits could be too costly. The irony, of course, is that raising those limits greatly increases the liklihood that such insurance will never need to be used--since the entire purpose in raising the limits is to create an environment of confidence and avoiding bank runs.

Bruce

Anonymous said...

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/29/business/29bank.html?ref=business


Wachovia is Toast, shareholders may get a few dollars, and bondholders might take losses.
Markets will view this very negatively imho. I hope they at least make the bondholders whole.

Hope there's a better outcome
----------------------------------
Citigroup and Wells Fargo Said to Be Bidding for Wachovia




By ERIC DASH and ANDREW ROSS SORKIN
Published: September 28, 2008
Citigroup and Wells Fargo were locked in a bidding war on Sunday over a possible emergency takeover of the Wachovia Corporation, people involved in the talks said.

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The intense negotiations come as concern grew about Wachovia’s stability on Friday, these people said, despite a breakthrough reached Sunday by Congressional negotiators on a $700 billion bailout for the financial system.

The government, led by the Federal Reserve and Treasury Department, has been involved in the talks as well, these people said. But so far, the government is resisting pressure to help bidders by guaranteeing a part of Wachovia’s assets the way it did for Bear Stearns when it was sold to JPMorgan Chase in March.

The government has also opposed taking over Wachovia the way it did Washington Mutual last week, these people said, unless its financial position deteriorates more rapidly.

A timetable for a potential deal is not clear, with the talks possibly extending beyond Sunday night.

Either way, Citigroup and Wells Fargo are unlikely to bid more than a few dollars a share for Wachovia, substantially less than the $10 at which its shares were trading Friday. It was unclear whether bondholders would also take a steep discount on their holdings, or be entirely wiped out.

Other aspects of the deal also remain in flux. One is whether all of Wachovia is up for sale, or whether the company might be carved up.

Citigroup and Wells Fargo, for example, might bid only on Wachovia’s retail banking business. Wachovia retail brokerage, the second largest behind Merrill Lynch, might remain independent. It was unclear what would happen to Wachovia’s small investment bank.

Both Citigroup and Wells Fargo are interested in acquiring Wachovia’s branches and roughly $400 billion in deposit financing. For Wells Fargo, a deal would extend their branch banking network eastward across the Mississippi, creating a nationwide franchise that would compete with Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase. Citigroup and Wachovia declined to comment. Wells Fargo did not immediately return calls seeking comment.

For Citigroup, the deal would vastly expand its retail branch network after struggling to build one for years. It would also give it access to more stable customer deposits, so it could rely less heavily on outside investors for funds. Bank executives there see this as game-changing opportunity.

Still, both Citigroup and Wells Fargo have serious concerns about taking on Wachovia’s $800 billion loan portfolio. In particular, they are worried about a big swath of troubled mortgages tied to the 2006 acquisition of Golden West, a California lender that specialized in pay-option mortgages. But lacking the time for more than a crude analysis of Wachovia’s finances, both banks are trying desperately to assess the risks.

Also complicating the negotiations is the proposed legislation creating a $700 billion bailout fund to rescue the financial system. That is expected to be reach the House f Representatives by Monday. The bill would allow the bank or any bidder that takes over Wachovia to sell its weakest assets to the government. Still, any sale of Wachovia’s assets would require it to take enormous write-downs.