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Wednesday, January 31, 2007

MORE RATINGS CUTS BUT DOES IT MATTER?
MLPS START AT ALL TIME HIGHS
There cutting ratings this week on some MLPS. We had Sunoco Logistics (SXL) yesterday and today a couple of cuts. Goldman Sachs cuts Calumet Products Partners (CLMT) to neutral from buy. Wachovia is cutting Hiland GP (HPGP) to neutral from outperform. Now i would like to point out that ratings cuts on Calumet came a few weeks ago when the stock was in the low 40s. It corrected to the mid 38s and has since risen to 46 yesterday. Sunoco Logistics got cut by 2 houses yesterday and all that could do was knock out about 20 cents from the price. Now sometimes these cuts take a few trading days to play through but I think the message of the market here is that corrections that come with these cuts are just buying opportunitites. So until proven otherwise i would use these actions to pick up shares at cheaper prices. As always check to see where the moving averages are on the charts as a guide. I use expotential 34,55 and 89 day averages (fibbonacci numbers) as support area. I find they work well. Nothing else in upgrades or downgrades this morning.
The fed meeting ends today with an announcement at 2:15pm. I've been saying that if past patterns hold look for 10 year rates to fall after the announement. I think the MLP uptrend remains in tact as long as long rates stay contained under 5%. Crude Oil is correcting after yesterdays 3 dollar gain; down 50 cents right now. Natural gas was up 10% yesterday; its down about 10 cents this morning. Oil numbers due out at 10:30am will be a market mover. Stock futures slightly weaker.
So its more of the same i guess. We'll let the opening work its way through the tape and post again later this morning once we get through the noise.

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