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Wednesday, January 30, 2008

btw..in the interest of disclosure i am long Linn Energy...now that being said...this mlp is so ridiculously mispriced. Just on yield alone...lets say you want to give it a 10% yield...which for an mlp that is growing distributions is ridiculous....but humor me here. That puts the price at 26. Now i know there were supply issues here with priviate equity that hit the tape. Still Linn was being priced for no distribution increase.

I am going to be bold here and predict an up close tomorrow for this one.

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

The market is in show-me mode with LINN. They need to come through with a few steady Q's before they get taken out of the penalty box and given a market multiple.

joewxman said...

i would agree but the penalty seems excessive with a 12% yield...9% okay...but not 12. 10% gives you a 26 buck stock.

Anonymous said...

Same can be said for the APL pig. That thing gets no love at all...

joewxman said...

apl has been seeing some weird trading where it sells off 1 to points intra day and then rallies back into the close. Its been doing this for the last 4 or 5 trading days.

Not sure what is going on

Anonymous said...

LINE & APL are both undervalued due to the massive amount of new units they have recently registered for trade increasing their floats substantially related to recent huge acquisitions.

I know it seems like valuation should be more important than a substantially increased float but you need to remember than many investors that participate in private placements & IPOs aren't long-term investors but are instead looking to get in and out as fast as possible to lock in a quick profit.

Anonymous said...

It's usually a good sign that someone is a shortseller when they refer to such and such a stock as a "pig". I've seen it over and over and over again.